SSP Daily Digest: 3/30

NY-20: One day left to go in the special election. The district’s most popular politician, Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, is appearing in GOTV robocalls blanketing the district.

The Times-Union finds that there’s been a flood of money into the race in the last few weeks from Republican third party groups. Of the $1.1 in independent expenditures since last Tuesday, $300K were Democratic, while $800K were Republican.

Also, Libertarian candidate Eric Sundwall, who got kicked off the ballot last week because of a challenge to his petition signatures originated by Republicans, has endorsed Scott Murphy (seemingly more out of spite than out of agreement on the issues). His dozens of supporters may not make a big impact on the election, but it’s yet another news story that’s a black eye for Jim Tedisco.

KY-Sen: Lt. Gov Dan Mongiardo picked up an important endorsement in the Kentucky senate primary: from his boss, Gov. Steve Beshear. (Important in the sense that it would be kind of awkward if he didn’t get that endorsment.)

OH-Sen: Two big endorsements for SoS Jennifer Brunner in the Ohio senate primary: one from a major union, the United Food and Commercial Workers, and one from Caroline Kennedy, who hosted a NYC fundraiser for Brunner.

AK-Sen: With the possibility of a Lisa Murkowski/Sarah Palin primary in the 2010 Alaska senate race looming, here are some numbers that might give Palin some pause. A primary against Murkowski wouldn’t be the cakewalk for Palin that some had supposed. Hayes Research didn’t test a head-to-head, but they found that Palin’s approve/disapprove (among all voters, not just GOPers) is 60/35, while Murkowski is even better at 72/21. Palin’s “very negative” is 21%, while Murkowski’s is only 7%.

OR-05: In response to the news that two-time loser Mike Erickson is considering another race, Blue Oregon comes up with a helpful list of somewhat more credible candidates as the GOP tries to dislodge Kurt Schrader before he gets entrenched. Former and current state legislators that get a mention include former majority leader Wayne Scott, as well as Bill Kennemer, Kim Thatcher, Vicki Berger, and Vic Gilliam.

Redistricting: Believe it or not, the state of Ohio is hosting a “redistricting competition” to see who can come up with the best map for the state. Some of the criteria they’re using to judge entrants (like “compactness”) might be anathema to hardcore partisans, but the contest could still be fun nonetheless. The sign-up form is here. (D)

CT-Sen: Looks like Robbie Simmons is going to have some company in the GOP primary for the nod to take on Chris Dodd; state Sen. Sam Caligiuri, the former mayor of Waterbury, is expected to announce his candidacy tomorrow. (J)

26 thoughts on “SSP Daily Digest: 3/30”

  1. Every approval I’d seen on Murkowski in the past had her in the 50’s tops.  Might have just been the bad blood among voters at her father blowing over.  She’s also on appropriations now which probably helps her.

  2. Do they really know what they are doing in allowing people like us to create potential maps for them? Some people on this site are not children with crayons, we’re über-nerds with too much time on our hands!

    I look forward to seeing how this contest plays out for them.

  3. Gotta love these sore, spiteful politicans like Eric Sundwall. These sure are the types we need in DC!

    Thats great news about Burner. I would look foreword to the GOP running against her in 2010. I like our chances better.

    I think the talk of Palin running for the Senate is just a bunch of political daydreaming, and always has been. Though I would like to see her in the Senate rather than running for President.

  4. The rules specify that 18 districts are to be created, which is a touch optimistic, since Ohio is almost certainly going to lose at least one district. They also use Bush/Gore for their standard of political competitiveness, which also seems wrong, since Bush/Kerry was more competitive and more recent.  I’m not sure if they are also using 2000 census data or more recent estimates.  Either way, it should be an interesting exercise.  SSP team?

  5. I wouldn’t put too much stock in an approval poll of all eligible voters for speculating about the Republican primary.  R primary voters are certainly a small percentage of all eligible voters and likely much more conservative.  Murkowski probably does better among Democrats and independents than does Palin, especially after the negative publicity she received for her VP run.  Murkowski is also one of the less conservative Republicans out there, being much more focused on bringing home the bacon for Alaska than implementing conservitive ideals.

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